Publish Microplex diagnostics production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1
Browse files
latest.json
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,6 +1,7 @@
|
|
| 1 |
{
|
| 2 |
"artifact_id": "production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1",
|
| 3 |
"paths": {
|
|
|
|
| 4 |
"manifest": "runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/manifest.json",
|
| 5 |
"policyengine_native_audit": "runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/pe_us_data_rebuild_native_audit.json",
|
| 6 |
"policyengine_native_scores": "runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/policyengine_native_scores.json",
|
|
@@ -12,6 +13,28 @@
|
|
| 12 |
"schema_version": 1,
|
| 13 |
"summary": {
|
| 14 |
"created_at": "2026-06-02T20:55:21.341751+00:00",
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 15 |
"policyengine_native_audit": {
|
| 16 |
"largestRegressingFamily": "state_aca_enrollment",
|
| 17 |
"largestRegressingTarget": "state/CA/adjusted_gross_income/amount/1000000_inf",
|
|
@@ -48,5 +71,5 @@
|
|
| 48 |
"unweighted_msre_delta": 6.42182629977879
|
| 49 |
}
|
| 50 |
},
|
| 51 |
-
"updated_at": "2026-06-
|
| 52 |
}
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
{
|
| 2 |
"artifact_id": "production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1",
|
| 3 |
"paths": {
|
| 4 |
+
"downstream_aggregate_validation": "runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/downstream_aggregate_validation.json",
|
| 5 |
"manifest": "runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/manifest.json",
|
| 6 |
"policyengine_native_audit": "runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/pe_us_data_rebuild_native_audit.json",
|
| 7 |
"policyengine_native_scores": "runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/policyengine_native_scores.json",
|
|
|
|
| 13 |
"schema_version": 1,
|
| 14 |
"summary": {
|
| 15 |
"created_at": "2026-06-02T20:55:21.341751+00:00",
|
| 16 |
+
"downstream_aggregate_validation": {
|
| 17 |
+
"baseline_dataset_path": "/Users/pavelmakarchuk/calibration-diagnostics/.artifacts/PolicyEngine__policyengine-us-data/root/main/enhanced_cps_2024.h5",
|
| 18 |
+
"candidate_dataset_path": "/Users/pavelmakarchuk/microplex-us/artifacts/issue_133_production_target_diagnostics_20260602/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/policyengine_us.h5",
|
| 19 |
+
"exists": true,
|
| 20 |
+
"generated_at": "2026-06-05T20:38:32.085205+00:00",
|
| 21 |
+
"path": "downstream_aggregate_validation.json",
|
| 22 |
+
"summary": {
|
| 23 |
+
"aggregate_count": 7,
|
| 24 |
+
"baseline_computed_count": 7,
|
| 25 |
+
"baseline_error_count": 0,
|
| 26 |
+
"baseline_mean_abs_rel_error": 0.3243002061330408,
|
| 27 |
+
"baseline_wins": 5,
|
| 28 |
+
"candidate_computed_count": 7,
|
| 29 |
+
"candidate_error_count": 0,
|
| 30 |
+
"candidate_mean_abs_rel_error": 0.9567940969779501,
|
| 31 |
+
"candidate_wins": 2,
|
| 32 |
+
"missing": 0,
|
| 33 |
+
"period": 2024,
|
| 34 |
+
"proxy_benchmark_count": 4,
|
| 35 |
+
"ties": 0
|
| 36 |
+
}
|
| 37 |
+
},
|
| 38 |
"policyengine_native_audit": {
|
| 39 |
"largestRegressingFamily": "state_aca_enrollment",
|
| 40 |
"largestRegressingTarget": "state/CA/adjusted_gross_income/amount/1000000_inf",
|
|
|
|
| 71 |
"unweighted_msre_delta": 6.42182629977879
|
| 72 |
}
|
| 73 |
},
|
| 74 |
+
"updated_at": "2026-06-05T20:39:51.207126+00:00"
|
| 75 |
}
|
run_registry.jsonl
CHANGED
|
@@ -1 +1 @@
|
|
| 1 |
-
{"artifact_id": "production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1", "candidate_enhanced_cps_native_loss": 0.33476694698698695, "enhanced_cps_native_loss_delta": -0.12654951221302702, "manifest": "runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/manifest.json", "policyengine_native_audit": "runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/pe_us_data_rebuild_native_audit.json", "policyengine_native_scores": "runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/policyengine_native_scores.json", "policyengine_native_target_diagnostics": "runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/pe_native_target_diagnostics.json", "recorded_at": "2026-06-
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
{"artifact_id": "production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1", "candidate_enhanced_cps_native_loss": 0.33476694698698695, "downstream_aggregate_validation": "runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/downstream_aggregate_validation.json", "enhanced_cps_native_loss_delta": -0.12654951221302702, "manifest": "runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/manifest.json", "policyengine_native_audit": "runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/pe_us_data_rebuild_native_audit.json", "policyengine_native_scores": "runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/policyengine_native_scores.json", "policyengine_native_target_diagnostics": "runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/pe_native_target_diagnostics.json", "recorded_at": "2026-06-05T20:39:51.207135+00:00", "repo_id": "policyengine/microplex-us-diagnostics", "repo_type": "dataset", "run_id": "production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1"}
|
runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/downstream_aggregate_validation.json
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,289 @@
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
{
|
| 2 |
+
"baseline_dataset_path": "/Users/pavelmakarchuk/calibration-diagnostics/.artifacts/PolicyEngine__policyengine-us-data/root/main/enhanced_cps_2024.h5",
|
| 3 |
+
"benchmarks": [
|
| 4 |
+
{
|
| 5 |
+
"benchmark": 2426100000000.0,
|
| 6 |
+
"benchmark_kind": "official_proxy",
|
| 7 |
+
"name": "income_tax",
|
| 8 |
+
"notes": "Fiscal-year receipts are used as a national-scale proxy for the calendar-year PolicyEngine aggregate.",
|
| 9 |
+
"source": "U.S. Treasury FY2024 individual income tax receipts",
|
| 10 |
+
"source_url": "https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy2657",
|
| 11 |
+
"unit": "USD"
|
| 12 |
+
},
|
| 13 |
+
{
|
| 14 |
+
"benchmark": 70000000000.0,
|
| 15 |
+
"benchmark_kind": "official",
|
| 16 |
+
"name": "eitc",
|
| 17 |
+
"notes": null,
|
| 18 |
+
"source": "IRS EITC statistics, tax year 2024",
|
| 19 |
+
"source_url": "https://www.eitc.irs.gov/eitc-central/statistics-for-tax-returns-with-eitc/statistics-for-tax-returns-with-the-earned-income",
|
| 20 |
+
"unit": "USD"
|
| 21 |
+
},
|
| 22 |
+
{
|
| 23 |
+
"benchmark": 115000000000.0,
|
| 24 |
+
"benchmark_kind": "official_proxy",
|
| 25 |
+
"name": "ctc",
|
| 26 |
+
"notes": "Tax expenditure estimate is used as a national-scale proxy for total CTC outlays/liability effects.",
|
| 27 |
+
"source": "U.S. Treasury tax expenditure estimate for the child tax credit",
|
| 28 |
+
"source_url": "https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/Tax-Expenditures-FY2026-update.pdf",
|
| 29 |
+
"unit": "USD"
|
| 30 |
+
},
|
| 31 |
+
{
|
| 32 |
+
"benchmark": 21917657000000.0,
|
| 33 |
+
"benchmark_kind": "official_proxy",
|
| 34 |
+
"name": "household_net_income",
|
| 35 |
+
"notes": "Disposable personal income is used as a broad national proxy for household net income.",
|
| 36 |
+
"source": "BEA/FRED 2024 disposable personal income",
|
| 37 |
+
"source_url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DSPI",
|
| 38 |
+
"unit": "USD"
|
| 39 |
+
},
|
| 40 |
+
{
|
| 41 |
+
"benchmark": 100000000000.0,
|
| 42 |
+
"benchmark_kind": "official",
|
| 43 |
+
"name": "snap",
|
| 44 |
+
"notes": null,
|
| 45 |
+
"source": "USDA FNS FY2024 SNAP benefits",
|
| 46 |
+
"source_url": "https://www.fns.usda.gov/pd/supplemental-nutrition-assistance-program-snap",
|
| 47 |
+
"unit": "USD"
|
| 48 |
+
},
|
| 49 |
+
{
|
| 50 |
+
"benchmark": 63079493000.0,
|
| 51 |
+
"benchmark_kind": "official",
|
| 52 |
+
"name": "ssi",
|
| 53 |
+
"notes": null,
|
| 54 |
+
"source": "SSA SSI Annual Statistical Report 2024",
|
| 55 |
+
"source_url": "https://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/statcomps/ssi_asr/2024/",
|
| 56 |
+
"unit": "USD"
|
| 57 |
+
},
|
| 58 |
+
{
|
| 59 |
+
"benchmark": 60000000000.0,
|
| 60 |
+
"benchmark_kind": "official_proxy",
|
| 61 |
+
"name": "aca_ptc",
|
| 62 |
+
"notes": "Marketplace financial assistance is used as a proxy for ACA premium tax credits.",
|
| 63 |
+
"source": "CMS marketplace financial assistance reports",
|
| 64 |
+
"source_url": "https://www.cms.gov/files/document/marketplace-open-enrollment-period-public-use-files-2024.pdf",
|
| 65 |
+
"unit": "USD"
|
| 66 |
+
}
|
| 67 |
+
],
|
| 68 |
+
"candidate_dataset_path": "/Users/pavelmakarchuk/microplex-us/artifacts/issue_133_production_target_diagnostics_20260602/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/policyengine_us.h5",
|
| 69 |
+
"dataset_labels": {
|
| 70 |
+
"baseline": "PolicyEngine/policyengine-us-data enhanced_cps_2024.h5",
|
| 71 |
+
"candidate": "microplex-us production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1"
|
| 72 |
+
},
|
| 73 |
+
"generated_at": "2026-06-05T20:38:32.085205+00:00",
|
| 74 |
+
"period": 2024,
|
| 75 |
+
"rows": [
|
| 76 |
+
{
|
| 77 |
+
"baseline_abs_error": 1974851950344.0303,
|
| 78 |
+
"baseline_abs_error_billions": 1974.8519503440302,
|
| 79 |
+
"baseline_abs_rel_error": 0.8140026999480773,
|
| 80 |
+
"baseline_error": null,
|
| 81 |
+
"baseline_label": "PolicyEngine/policyengine-us-data enhanced_cps_2024.h5",
|
| 82 |
+
"baseline_rel_error": 0.8140026999480773,
|
| 83 |
+
"baseline_value": 4400951950344.03,
|
| 84 |
+
"baseline_value_billions": 4400.951950344031,
|
| 85 |
+
"benchmark": 2426100000000.0,
|
| 86 |
+
"benchmark_billions": 2426.1,
|
| 87 |
+
"benchmark_kind": "official_proxy",
|
| 88 |
+
"candidate_abs_error": 1852282751003.8481,
|
| 89 |
+
"candidate_abs_error_billions": 1852.282751003848,
|
| 90 |
+
"candidate_abs_rel_error": 0.763481617000061,
|
| 91 |
+
"candidate_error": null,
|
| 92 |
+
"candidate_label": "microplex-us production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1",
|
| 93 |
+
"candidate_rel_error": 0.763481617000061,
|
| 94 |
+
"candidate_value": 4278382751003.848,
|
| 95 |
+
"candidate_value_billions": 4278.382751003848,
|
| 96 |
+
"label": "Federal income tax",
|
| 97 |
+
"name": "income_tax",
|
| 98 |
+
"notes": "Fiscal-year receipts are used as a national-scale proxy for the calendar-year PolicyEngine aggregate.",
|
| 99 |
+
"source": "U.S. Treasury FY2024 individual income tax receipts",
|
| 100 |
+
"source_url": "https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/jy2657",
|
| 101 |
+
"unit": "USD",
|
| 102 |
+
"winner": "candidate"
|
| 103 |
+
},
|
| 104 |
+
{
|
| 105 |
+
"baseline_abs_error": -2657901159.903412,
|
| 106 |
+
"baseline_abs_error_billions": -2.6579011599034117,
|
| 107 |
+
"baseline_abs_rel_error": 0.03797001657004874,
|
| 108 |
+
"baseline_error": null,
|
| 109 |
+
"baseline_label": "PolicyEngine/policyengine-us-data enhanced_cps_2024.h5",
|
| 110 |
+
"baseline_rel_error": -0.03797001657004874,
|
| 111 |
+
"baseline_value": 67342098840.09659,
|
| 112 |
+
"baseline_value_billions": 67.34209884009658,
|
| 113 |
+
"benchmark": 70000000000.0,
|
| 114 |
+
"benchmark_billions": 70.0,
|
| 115 |
+
"benchmark_kind": "official",
|
| 116 |
+
"candidate_abs_error": -7877961260.084732,
|
| 117 |
+
"candidate_abs_error_billions": -7.877961260084732,
|
| 118 |
+
"candidate_abs_rel_error": 0.11254230371549617,
|
| 119 |
+
"candidate_error": null,
|
| 120 |
+
"candidate_label": "microplex-us production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1",
|
| 121 |
+
"candidate_rel_error": -0.11254230371549617,
|
| 122 |
+
"candidate_value": 62122038739.91527,
|
| 123 |
+
"candidate_value_billions": 62.12203873991527,
|
| 124 |
+
"label": "Earned income tax credit",
|
| 125 |
+
"name": "eitc",
|
| 126 |
+
"notes": null,
|
| 127 |
+
"source": "IRS EITC statistics, tax year 2024",
|
| 128 |
+
"source_url": "https://www.eitc.irs.gov/eitc-central/statistics-for-tax-returns-with-eitc/statistics-for-tax-returns-with-the-earned-income",
|
| 129 |
+
"unit": "USD",
|
| 130 |
+
"winner": "baseline"
|
| 131 |
+
},
|
| 132 |
+
{
|
| 133 |
+
"baseline_abs_error": 8127561642.823303,
|
| 134 |
+
"baseline_abs_error_billions": 8.127561642823304,
|
| 135 |
+
"baseline_abs_rel_error": 0.07067444906802872,
|
| 136 |
+
"baseline_error": null,
|
| 137 |
+
"baseline_label": "PolicyEngine/policyengine-us-data enhanced_cps_2024.h5",
|
| 138 |
+
"baseline_rel_error": 0.07067444906802872,
|
| 139 |
+
"baseline_value": 123127561642.8233,
|
| 140 |
+
"baseline_value_billions": 123.12756164282331,
|
| 141 |
+
"benchmark": 115000000000.0,
|
| 142 |
+
"benchmark_billions": 115.0,
|
| 143 |
+
"benchmark_kind": "official_proxy",
|
| 144 |
+
"candidate_abs_error": 60259341278.05255,
|
| 145 |
+
"candidate_abs_error_billions": 60.25934127805255,
|
| 146 |
+
"candidate_abs_rel_error": 0.5239942719830657,
|
| 147 |
+
"candidate_error": null,
|
| 148 |
+
"candidate_label": "microplex-us production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1",
|
| 149 |
+
"candidate_rel_error": 0.5239942719830657,
|
| 150 |
+
"candidate_value": 175259341278.05255,
|
| 151 |
+
"candidate_value_billions": 175.25934127805255,
|
| 152 |
+
"label": "Child tax credit",
|
| 153 |
+
"name": "ctc",
|
| 154 |
+
"notes": "Tax expenditure estimate is used as a national-scale proxy for total CTC outlays/liability effects.",
|
| 155 |
+
"source": "U.S. Treasury tax expenditure estimate for the child tax credit",
|
| 156 |
+
"source_url": "https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/Tax-Expenditures-FY2026-update.pdf",
|
| 157 |
+
"unit": "USD",
|
| 158 |
+
"winner": "baseline"
|
| 159 |
+
},
|
| 160 |
+
{
|
| 161 |
+
"baseline_abs_error": 315855115491.7383,
|
| 162 |
+
"baseline_abs_error_billions": 315.8551154917383,
|
| 163 |
+
"baseline_abs_rel_error": 0.014410989071128281,
|
| 164 |
+
"baseline_error": null,
|
| 165 |
+
"baseline_label": "PolicyEngine/policyengine-us-data enhanced_cps_2024.h5",
|
| 166 |
+
"baseline_rel_error": 0.014410989071128281,
|
| 167 |
+
"baseline_value": 22233512115491.74,
|
| 168 |
+
"baseline_value_billions": 22233.51211549174,
|
| 169 |
+
"benchmark": 21917657000000.0,
|
| 170 |
+
"benchmark_billions": 21917.657,
|
| 171 |
+
"benchmark_kind": "official_proxy",
|
| 172 |
+
"candidate_abs_error": -3595958498430.875,
|
| 173 |
+
"candidate_abs_error_billions": -3595.958498430875,
|
| 174 |
+
"candidate_abs_rel_error": 0.16406673844886227,
|
| 175 |
+
"candidate_error": null,
|
| 176 |
+
"candidate_label": "microplex-us production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1",
|
| 177 |
+
"candidate_rel_error": -0.16406673844886227,
|
| 178 |
+
"candidate_value": 18321698501569.125,
|
| 179 |
+
"candidate_value_billions": 18321.698501569124,
|
| 180 |
+
"label": "Household net income",
|
| 181 |
+
"name": "household_net_income",
|
| 182 |
+
"notes": "Disposable personal income is used as a broad national proxy for household net income.",
|
| 183 |
+
"source": "BEA/FRED 2024 disposable personal income",
|
| 184 |
+
"source_url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DSPI",
|
| 185 |
+
"unit": "USD",
|
| 186 |
+
"winner": "baseline"
|
| 187 |
+
},
|
| 188 |
+
{
|
| 189 |
+
"baseline_abs_error": 2093433239.1394806,
|
| 190 |
+
"baseline_abs_error_billions": 2.0934332391394808,
|
| 191 |
+
"baseline_abs_rel_error": 0.020934332391394805,
|
| 192 |
+
"baseline_error": null,
|
| 193 |
+
"baseline_label": "PolicyEngine/policyengine-us-data enhanced_cps_2024.h5",
|
| 194 |
+
"baseline_rel_error": 0.020934332391394805,
|
| 195 |
+
"baseline_value": 102093433239.13948,
|
| 196 |
+
"baseline_value_billions": 102.09343323913949,
|
| 197 |
+
"benchmark": 100000000000.0,
|
| 198 |
+
"benchmark_billions": 100.0,
|
| 199 |
+
"benchmark_kind": "official",
|
| 200 |
+
"candidate_abs_error": -28982859017.632675,
|
| 201 |
+
"candidate_abs_error_billions": -28.982859017632673,
|
| 202 |
+
"candidate_abs_rel_error": 0.28982859017632673,
|
| 203 |
+
"candidate_error": null,
|
| 204 |
+
"candidate_label": "microplex-us production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1",
|
| 205 |
+
"candidate_rel_error": -0.28982859017632673,
|
| 206 |
+
"candidate_value": 71017140982.36732,
|
| 207 |
+
"candidate_value_billions": 71.01714098236732,
|
| 208 |
+
"label": "SNAP benefits",
|
| 209 |
+
"name": "snap",
|
| 210 |
+
"notes": null,
|
| 211 |
+
"source": "USDA FNS FY2024 SNAP benefits",
|
| 212 |
+
"source_url": "https://www.fns.usda.gov/pd/supplemental-nutrition-assistance-program-snap",
|
| 213 |
+
"unit": "USD",
|
| 214 |
+
"winner": "baseline"
|
| 215 |
+
},
|
| 216 |
+
{
|
| 217 |
+
"baseline_abs_error": -55160074680.56212,
|
| 218 |
+
"baseline_abs_error_billions": -55.16007468056212,
|
| 219 |
+
"baseline_abs_rel_error": 0.8744533612621477,
|
| 220 |
+
"baseline_error": null,
|
| 221 |
+
"baseline_label": "PolicyEngine/policyengine-us-data enhanced_cps_2024.h5",
|
| 222 |
+
"baseline_rel_error": -0.8744533612621477,
|
| 223 |
+
"baseline_value": 7919418319.437885,
|
| 224 |
+
"baseline_value_billions": 7.919418319437885,
|
| 225 |
+
"benchmark": 63079493000.0,
|
| 226 |
+
"benchmark_billions": 63.079493,
|
| 227 |
+
"benchmark_kind": "official",
|
| 228 |
+
"candidate_abs_error": -42064507649.231995,
|
| 229 |
+
"candidate_abs_error_billions": -42.06450764923199,
|
| 230 |
+
"candidate_abs_rel_error": 0.6668491715561505,
|
| 231 |
+
"candidate_error": null,
|
| 232 |
+
"candidate_label": "microplex-us production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1",
|
| 233 |
+
"candidate_rel_error": -0.6668491715561505,
|
| 234 |
+
"candidate_value": 21014985350.768,
|
| 235 |
+
"candidate_value_billions": 21.014985350768,
|
| 236 |
+
"label": "SSI benefits",
|
| 237 |
+
"name": "ssi",
|
| 238 |
+
"notes": null,
|
| 239 |
+
"source": "SSA SSI Annual Statistical Report 2024",
|
| 240 |
+
"source_url": "https://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/statcomps/ssi_asr/2024/",
|
| 241 |
+
"unit": "USD",
|
| 242 |
+
"winner": "candidate"
|
| 243 |
+
},
|
| 244 |
+
{
|
| 245 |
+
"baseline_abs_error": 26259335677.227585,
|
| 246 |
+
"baseline_abs_error_billions": 26.259335677227586,
|
| 247 |
+
"baseline_abs_rel_error": 0.4376555946204597,
|
| 248 |
+
"baseline_error": null,
|
| 249 |
+
"baseline_label": "PolicyEngine/policyengine-us-data enhanced_cps_2024.h5",
|
| 250 |
+
"baseline_rel_error": 0.4376555946204597,
|
| 251 |
+
"baseline_value": 86259335677.22758,
|
| 252 |
+
"baseline_value_billions": 86.25933567722758,
|
| 253 |
+
"benchmark": 60000000000.0,
|
| 254 |
+
"benchmark_billions": 60.0,
|
| 255 |
+
"benchmark_kind": "official_proxy",
|
| 256 |
+
"candidate_abs_error": 250607759157.94135,
|
| 257 |
+
"candidate_abs_error_billions": 250.60775915794136,
|
| 258 |
+
"candidate_abs_rel_error": 4.176795985965689,
|
| 259 |
+
"candidate_error": null,
|
| 260 |
+
"candidate_label": "microplex-us production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1",
|
| 261 |
+
"candidate_rel_error": 4.176795985965689,
|
| 262 |
+
"candidate_value": 310607759157.94135,
|
| 263 |
+
"candidate_value_billions": 310.60775915794136,
|
| 264 |
+
"label": "ACA premium tax credits",
|
| 265 |
+
"name": "aca_ptc",
|
| 266 |
+
"notes": "Marketplace financial assistance is used as a proxy for ACA premium tax credits.",
|
| 267 |
+
"source": "CMS marketplace financial assistance reports",
|
| 268 |
+
"source_url": "https://www.cms.gov/files/document/marketplace-open-enrollment-period-public-use-files-2024.pdf",
|
| 269 |
+
"unit": "USD",
|
| 270 |
+
"winner": "baseline"
|
| 271 |
+
}
|
| 272 |
+
],
|
| 273 |
+
"schema_version": 1,
|
| 274 |
+
"summary": {
|
| 275 |
+
"aggregate_count": 7,
|
| 276 |
+
"baseline_computed_count": 7,
|
| 277 |
+
"baseline_error_count": 0,
|
| 278 |
+
"baseline_mean_abs_rel_error": 0.3243002061330408,
|
| 279 |
+
"baseline_wins": 5,
|
| 280 |
+
"candidate_computed_count": 7,
|
| 281 |
+
"candidate_error_count": 0,
|
| 282 |
+
"candidate_mean_abs_rel_error": 0.9567940969779501,
|
| 283 |
+
"candidate_wins": 2,
|
| 284 |
+
"missing": 0,
|
| 285 |
+
"period": 2024,
|
| 286 |
+
"proxy_benchmark_count": 4,
|
| 287 |
+
"ties": 0
|
| 288 |
+
}
|
| 289 |
+
}
|
runs/production-target-diagnostics-100k-national-rescaled-v1/manifest.json
CHANGED
|
@@ -1,3 +1,3 @@
|
|
| 1 |
version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
|
| 2 |
-
oid sha256:
|
| 3 |
-
size
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
version https://git-lfs.github.com/spec/v1
|
| 2 |
+
oid sha256:a5c5151b918808703acc2ea12a8473243b0bf77c17cfc920b8078ccf3b3c5bce
|
| 3 |
+
size 11139557
|